LevelMagazine – US – Our NCAAB staff’s top 4 bets for the opening day

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The promotion ends on Wednesday and it is clear that this season will be different from any other season in the past. But despite the planning chaos that has led us to this day, there’s nothing like transitioning between college football and college tires in late fall.

To celebrate, our college basketball staff canceled four games from the season opener on Wednesday. Check out all the analysis and betting tips for your favorite games below.

All odds listed were updated from Tuesday evening and via DraftKings. Specific betting recommendations at the end of each matchup breakdown come from Sports Betting which, at the time of writing, offers preferred odds.

Always shop at the best price on our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically shows the best lines for each game.

The Memphis Tigers will face Saint Mary’s Gaels in the first game of the Bad Boy Mowers Crossover Classic in South Dakota on Wednesday afternoon. Both teams have a lot of squad turnover and new faces who will appear in new roles this season.

Memphis lost two players from its highly acclaimed 2019 recruiting class to the 2020 NBA Draft in James Wiseman (second overall selection) and Precious Achiuwa (20. Selection). . The Tigers only give back four high school students and no seniors.

The Gaels have to replace more than 72% of their hits from last season with the departure of their big three – Jordan Ford, Malik Fitts and Tanner Krebs.

With more uncertainty than usual as we wrap up the 2020-21 season, I’ll be betting this game live after some possible outcomes.

Although the Tigers lost two of the best men in college basketball last season (despite having played fewer than five games for Memphis), they were chosen by the coaches to be behind them at the American Athletic Conference (AAC) second place to take Houston. The coaches have confidence in Memphis as the Tigers reloaded in the middle position with the highly regarded recruit Moussa Cisse.

Cisse was named Preseason Rookie of the Year by the AAC coaches. As a potential first-round pick in the next NBA draft, he has elite blocking skills and should dominate defensively because of his athletic 6-foot-10 frame and 7-foot-4 wingspan. His offensive repertoire is still relatively raw, but he will be one of the most dangerous praise threats in the country from day one. He’ll be the key wheel as Memphis plays a fast paced and defensive driven style.

The Tigers will also rely on their two AAC preseason second-team selections in D.. J. . Jeffries and Landers Nolley II. Jeffries, a sophomore striker, started 13 games last season, an average of 10. 8 points and 4. 3 rebounds. He is the leading returning goalscorer of 2019. A sophomore striker, Nolley averaged 15 years old. 8 points, 5. 8 rebounds and 2. 4 assists at Virginia Tech last season. Nolley joined the ACC All-Freshman Team after his first season in Blacksburg.

Unfortunately, Memphis is likely to be missing some contributors this week in South Dakota. Ahmad Rand, a 6-foot-8 junior college transfer, will miss all three games due to COVID-19 contact tracing. Rand led all JUCO players with five blocks per game last year.

Evansville Transfer DeAndre Williams has not yet resolved his transfer waiver request (allegedly due to an Evansville raid) so he is not yet available to play. Second security guard, Lester Quinones, had a minor tendinitis but is expected to play against Saint Marys.

The Gaels are entering the 2020-21 season after finishing between 26 and 8 last season with an appearance in the WCC (West Coast Conference) championship. It was their fifth straight season with 22 wins and one more NCAA tournament appearance.

Despite the team’s success, no returning Gaels averaged more than seven points in 2019. Saint Mary’s was chosen to come third in the WCC this year behind Gonzaga and BYU.

Matthias Tass, a 6-foot-10 junior from Estonia, leads the Gaels as he was selected for the preseason first team WCC. He averaged 6. 6 points, 3. 6 rebounds, 2. 2 templates and 1. 3 blocks from tearing up its ACL on Dec.. . 21, 2019.

Logan Johnson and the former walk-in Tommy Kuhse will lead the Gaels’ back room. Kuhse led the team in assists last year and should again act as lead facilitator. He and Johnson will present Memphis with a tough matchup with their ball handling and shooting. Second security guard Alex Ducas will continue to play a key role this season after 41 shots. 4% compared to the 3-point range last year.

I recommend waiting until just before the tip to place bets to make sure the most important players are on each team. There is nothing worse than seeing your bet lose before the game even starts.

With that in mind, both teams need new players to rise to the top as there is more uncertainty in this opening game than in most of the others on Wednesday. The key matchup will be low with Tass battling freshman Cisse. Tass poses a challenge to the Tigers as they are a versatile big who can score low, but also acts as a go-between to prepare his teammates for easy buckets.

If Tass is successful as a goalscorer and mediator, Saint Marys has a good chance of winning. But if he gets into bad trouble at the other end, guarding Cisse, I see no way for the Gaels to win against the more talented Tigers.

While I like the value of Saint Mary’s money line at 275, I’ll be betting this game live depending on how the tass vs.. . Cisse Matchup unfolds. If Cisse can avoid bad problems and challenge Tass on the defensive, then I want Memphis to win. Since basketball is a running game, I’ll try to bet on the Tigers after a Gaels run if the odds drop below -120.

If Tass can get Cisse into bad trouble in his first college game and force Memphis to win without a dominant presence, then I like the value on the Saint Mary money line up to 200 live.

Liberty has had the best season in programming history, going 30-4 before post-season game was canceled due to COVID-19. It has won two straight titles with Atlantic Sun and is close to three this season. This is the Flames’ third game against a Power Five school in the past two years. Last season they upset Vanderbilt on the road but lost at LSU to end their 14-0 start.

Purdue had an up and down season in 2019-20, ending 16-15 and 9-11 in the Big Ten. This is a step down from where the Boilermakers have been over the past few seasons. However, Purdue played the sixth toughest schedule and was the team ranked 24th according to KenPom. rating. The Boilermakers are bringing back three starters and five players from last season’s nine-man rotation, so they’re ready to be a threat to the Big Ten again.

If the Flames repeat themselves as Atlantic Sun champions, they will have to replace their entire forecourt. The good news is that guards Elijah Cuffee and Darius McGhee are back to lead the Back Room of Freedom.

The goal will be the Flames’ Achilles heel this season. They’re ranked in the bottom half on KenPom in offensive efficiency. In 2019, Liberty was in the top 20 for Effective Field Target Percentage (eFG%) and 2-point FG%. However, those numbers are likely to drop dramatically due to their front court losses.

According to KenPom, Liberty ranks 166th. Place in season. It lacks the knack of replacing four seniors (Caleb Homesley, Scottie James, Georgie Pacheco-Ortiz, Myo Baxter-Bell) so it can be difficult for the Flames to start the season.

Liberty was the second slowest team in the country when it comes to the pace in 2019. When both guards come back it will likely be extremely slow again. The Boilermakers are also below average, so Liberty can play at a comfortable pace on Wednesday.

Purdue is about to catch up in 2020. The Boilermakers are returning three starters and adding two four-star recruits to their list. Purdue ranks 17th at KenPom. Place in terms of offensive efficiency.

Power forward Trevion Williams will lead the Boilermakers with the departure of center Matt Haarms. Williams will be a problem for Liberty on Wednesday as the Flames have no clear candidates to protect him.

Guards Eric Hunter and Sasha Stefanovic will lead the Purdue backcourt and are dead-eyed 3-point shooters. Both shot over 35% from a distance last season. Hunter has injured his knee, however, and will be out until mid-January, so Purdue will be a little understaffed for the season. Stefanovic will continue to pose a challenge to Liberty, who will most likely have to double Williams in the post, providing Purdue with opportunities on the perimeter.

Purdue is facing a couple of injury issues that Hunter and four-star newcomer Ethan Morton are questionable about.

Still, I think Purdue can dominate this game with Williams and his forecourt. The Boilermakers opened at -11 but were quickly bet on -9. 5 out with Hunter.

I projected Purdue as -11. 26 favorites so I think the Boilermakers have a value at -9. 5. I wouldn’t play it higher than that number, however.

Villanova opens the season as the third-placed team both in the AP Top 25 and in the coaching surveys with a view to a third Final Four appearance since the 2016 campaign.

The Wildcats face a Boston College team that is expected to rank 14th in the pre-season ACC poll. Will occupy space.

Will this be the comfortable Villanova win that the odds makers predict? Let’s take a look at what’s on deck.

Villanova is returning four starters from a team that has won seven of the last eight Big East titles in the regular season as well as the last three conference tournaments. Head coach Jay Wright has achieved any coach’s ultimate goal, which is to position his team as a national title contender every season.

The Wildcats are bringing back most of their players from a 2019-20 24-hour season, led by senior Collin Gillespie (15). 1 ppg / 4. 5 templates per game) and Jermaine Samuels (10. 7 ppg / 5. 5 rebounds per game). Sophomore Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (10. 5 ppg, 9. 4 rpg) is back for Villanova too.

When it comes to statistics, the wildcats are always among the elite. Last season they finished 15th. Place in the adjusted offensive efficiency and the 36. Place on the defensive via KenPom.

However, Villanova was at the bottom nationally and in the Great East when it came to forcing sales. The wildcats only achieved a defensive share of 292 sales.

Injuries played a role in Villanova’s preseason. The club opened the 2020-21 season without security guard Bryan Antoine and striker Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree. Second year Collin Gillespie (thigh) and Justin Moore (knee) also missed a significant time the preseason due to injuries.

Cosby-Roundtree (1. 5 ppg, 2. 2 rpg) should bring high quality court minutes off the bench with his defense and rebound. The Wildcats also expect great things from Antoine, who is still suffering from a shoulder injury that constrained him during his freshman year of college.

The key player for Villanova will be Robinson-Earl, a former five-star recruit. Last season, he almost averaged double-doubles for the Wildcats to be named Big East Freshman of the Year. Robinson-Earl must be at the center of the Eagles’ defensive roster if they are to succeed in this game.

The wildcats rely heavily on the 3-pointer to generate insults and produce 47. 3% of her points last year from beyond the arch. Villanova finished first in the Big East game, with 48% of its offenses coming from afar. Look for Justin Moore (39. 6%), Gillespie (35. 7%) and Cole Swider (35. 2%) to take several pictures from the depth.

If Villanova can get hot from downtown, this game against Boston College could be a quick breakout. However, if the Wildcats are slowly coming out, it will be difficult to get a consistent score from their 4-out-one-in set.

Boston College’s 2019-20 season has been extremely inconsistent. The Eagles, who are injured in almost every position, actually have reason to be optimistic this season. The most important thing they can achieve is the return of Wynston Tabbs.

Boston College security guard missed all of last season after surgery on his left knee. Tabbs had a fantastic newbies season before missing the last 16 games from injury.

Before Tabbs was injured, the average was 13. 9 points, 3. 9 rebounds and 1. 1 steals per game. As a freshman he was consistently playing in the high 30s in minutes, making 85. 2% of his free throws.

Tabbs are supported by sophomore Jay Heath (13) on the launch site. 1 ppg, 3. 4 rpg, 38% 3P) in one of the most underrated watch tandems of the ACC.

During Heath’s freshman season, he pulled down a string of 15 straight double digits with a list of great efforts against top ACC competition. He had 18 points (2-for-4 on 3-pointers) and 17 points (3-for-5 from behind) in two separate games against Virginia. Heath also went 4-4 from 3-point in a 74-72 defeat in Pittsburgh.

Senior Stefon Mitchell (7. 8 ppg / 8. 7 rpg / 2. 3 spg / 1. 1 bpg) was appointed to the All-ACC Defensive Team and received eight votes for ACC Defensive Player of the Year. The versatile power forward scored seven double doubles, including one for rebounds and assists.

The Eagles have been brilliant at enforcing sales under head coach Jim Christan’s man-to-man defense principles. Boston College forced an average of 14. 5 sales per game, the 65th nationwide. Occupied place. The Eagles played against their competition with wins against Virginia and North Carolina and one win against Virginia Tech.

The general betting consensus will relate to a Villanova blowout. The wildcats have the ability to get scorching hot from 3 point land and they can collect over 80 points each night.

However, this is a Boston College team that is underrated nationally, especially when Tabbs are absent all of last season.

Against the spread in 2019-2020, Villanova was only 10-14-1 as a favorite and 1-2-1 in neutral court games. The Wildcats have a significant talent gap, but as we observed last season, preseason competitions can favor matchups with lower scores.

Playing at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. After a preseason interrupted by COVID-19 issues, I believe this will be a close match. Villanova will retire at some point, but if he plays without Cosby-Roundtree and Antoine, the back door will remain in the game.

That is, I’ll take Boston College and the points on a line that I expect to go even higher before the game starts. I would also try to place a live bet if Tabbs and Company can get the Eagles off to a strong start.

Villanova will win, but it won’t be the blowout most expect. You should also keep an eye on Villanova playing live in the first half when the score is tight.

The UCLA-SDSU game notice is likely to be postponed to comply with the California state’s 10-point regulations. m. Curfew, according to ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura. All health and safety news keeping a game played is welcomed here in 2020.

This matchup symbolizes the change in the college basketball landscape on the west coast. The Aztecs have won 41 more games than the Bruins in the last ten years. They hit their big dance ticket six times and collected six NCAA tournament wins. The Bruins, meanwhile, drove through four coaches and won only one Pac-12 title in the regular season during this period.

Despite these differences, the public can’t stop supporting yesterday’s California blue blood. Splashy recruits like Shabazz Muhammad, Kyle Anderson, Kevon Looney, and Lonzo Ball have forced bettors to pay a window premium in recent years. As a result, UCLA is 59-80-1 (42nd. 4%) versus the spread in non-conference play since 2010, while the Aztecs are a pound of 68-49-2 (58). 1%).

The Bruins’ ATS issues were extended to last season, and UCLA posted a record loss to the spread during their non-conference list. But that hasn’t stopped the odds makers from installing the Bruins as three-point favorites against SDSU.

Can the upgraded Aztecs take advantage of a rare home game against a Power Conference opponent or will UCLA see a significant improvement in the second year of the Mick Cronin regime?

The Bruins were a USC summer beater after ending their 2020 campaign with an eight-game winning streak. And with the exception of an 86-83 overtime shootout against Washington State, UCLA under Cronin had essentially turned into « Cincinnati West ». UCLA scored 70 points or less in five of the Bruins’ seven wins during this hot season, drawing on one of the country’s most surprising defensive turns.

The Bruins really cleaned up the glass and, with their strong finish, jumped into the top 35 in a few key rebound metrics. Senior wing Chris Smith and junior striker Jalen Hill led the rebound department last month of the season.

The Bruins are returning all five starters, a factor that has significantly raised expectations at Westwood. The continuity gains should be visible in their opener, but it’s fair to ask how much UCLA can improve on the offensive with essentially the same cast of characters.

The Aztecs opened last season without a rank and climbed to fourth place in the AP poll. From their 2019-20 roster, they are giving back their starting center, power forward and small forward. However, the most interesting element of their starting grid this year is the transfer of graduate Terrell Gomez.

The 5’8-point guard is a deadly 3-point shooter (43. 6%) and was a two-time All-Big West first-team performer at Cal State Northridge. His offensive instincts should help the Aztecs properly place the ground in Brian Dutcher’s offensive system.

Defensively, the center mentioned above is probably a new addition to the line-up. Nathan Mensah played for SDSU’s first 13 games before clotting-related complications affected his season.

With the Ghanaian rim protector defending the lane, the Aztecs only allowed 56. 3 points per game. Without him, SDSU 61 surrendered. 6th. He will be critical in this from the jump.

It took UCLA a while to get Cronins vision right, but when it turned the corner it became a reliable team to pursue ATS. This was true of the totals as well as it slowed the pace and tightened the screw on the defense.

Add a healthy and potentially dominant post-defender to the mix for SDSU and I’m pretty confident this game will be played in the low 60s. I play the under to 133.

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Memphis Tigers Men’s Basketball, Saint Mary’s Gaels Men’s Basketball, American Athletic Conference, Penny Hardaway, College Basketball, West Coast Conference, NCAA Men’s Division I Basketball Tournament

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